THERMIS · INTELLIGENCE DATA PRODUCTS
Decision-grade geopolitical intelligence. Machine-scored. Time-series from day one.
Thermis captures and stores daily scored intelligence across geopolitical risk, military activity, scenario outcome probabilities, destination travel risk, and entry requirements. Every dataset is structured, consistently scored, and accumulating historical depth that becomes more valuable over time. Pro turns that data into a decision tool with clearer source context, confidence reads, score breakdowns, scenario framing and alerts while API and bulk access stay behind data licensing.
DATA CATALOG
Geopolitical Signal Intelligence
LIVE
Machine-scored daily risk levels across the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine, China-Taiwan, energy markets, equity indices, shipping, and cyber activity. Each day yields a scored range across multiple model runs.
COVERAGE
10 categories
HISTORY
180+ days
FREQUENCY
Daily
FORMAT
Time-series scores (0–100)
Hedge funds · Risk consultancies · Academic researchers
Military Theater Intelligence
LIVE
Daily threat-level assessments per military theater including anomaly detection (unusual activity spikes) and asset movement scoring. Covers Middle East, Eastern Europe, Red Sea, Taiwan Strait, South China Sea, and Korean Peninsula.
COVERAGE
6 theaters
HISTORY
180+ days
FREQUENCY
Daily
FORMAT
Threat + anomaly + movement scores
Defence analysts · Security firms · Insurers
Scenario Outcome Probabilities
LIVE
Daily probability scoring for geopolitical scenarios — conflict escalation, ceasefire paths, nuclear deal status, election outcomes. Each snapshot carries a confidence interval and directional signal (improving / stable / worsening).
COVERAGE
8 scenarios
HISTORY
Growing daily
FREQUENCY
Daily
FORMAT
Probability score + model confidence
Financial analysts · Think tanks · News organisations
Destination Travel Risk Events
LIVE
Daily event accumulation per destination country, rolled up from Thermis trip-watch monitoring. Surfaces which destinations are generating elevated risk activity and the rate of change over time.
COVERAGE
Global destinations
HISTORY
120+ days
FREQUENCY
Daily
FORMAT
Event counts by type and destination
Corporate security · Travel operators · Insurance
Visa & Entry Intelligence
LIVE
Change-tracked visa requirement history per nationality and destination. A new record is created only when source guidance actually changes — making this a clean log of policy shifts rather than a snapshot dump.
COVERAGE
Nationality → destination pairs
HISTORY
Full change log
FREQUENCY
On change
FORMAT
Policy status + change log
Travel managers · HR mobility teams · Compliance
SAMPLE API OUTPUT
GET /api/v1/signals?category=middle_east
{
"category": "middle_east",
"date": "2026-03-15",
"avg_score": 79.4,
"min_score": 71,
"max_score": 88,
"sample_count": 12,
"model": "thermis-v2.1"
}GET /api/v1/visa?from=GBR&to=irn
{
"nationality": "GBR",
"destination": "iran",
"status": "VISA_REQUIRED",
"changed_at": "2024-10-14",
"previous_status": "VISA_REQUIRED",
"source": "FCDO",
"summary": "British nationals require..."
}GET /api/v1/military?theater=red_sea_horn
{
"theater": "red_sea_horn",
"date": "2026-03-15",
"avg_score": 68.2,
"anomaly_score": 41,
"movement_score": 74.1,
"asset_count": 23
}API access available under Data Licensing. Contact admin@thermis.io for documentation and access.
WHO USES THIS DATA
◈
Corporate travel & HR mobility
Automate duty-of-care checks with live visa requirements and destination risk scores. Know when policy changes before your travellers land.
◈
Risk & security consultancies
Quantified, time-series baselines for country risk assessments. Give clients scored evidence, not just narrative reports.
◈
Travel insurance & operators
Price products against destination event history. Identify corridors with sustained elevated risk before claims materialise.
◈
Financial & commodity analysts
Correlate geopolitical and military scores with equity, energy, and commodity price movements. Build a leading-indicator dataset.
◈
Academic & policy researchers
A consistent machine-scored dataset of geopolitical risk for conflict modelling, outcome prediction, and cross-domain correlation studies.
THERMIS PRO
£9 / month
Interactive access to all five datasets plus the product layer people actually pay for: source-backed briefings, confidence reads, score context, alerts and live visual history. The data explorer below is included with Pro.
- →All 5 intelligence datasets
- →Source-backed live briefings and score context
- →Confidence reads, watchpoints and scenario framing
- →90-day interactive history and charts
- →Alerts, destination risk heat map and visa change log
DATA LICENSING
Custom pricing
Full historical datasets, CSV/JSON export, API access, and custom intelligence packages tailored to your use case. Suitable for institutional, research, and commercial buyers.
- →Full historical depth (all tables)
- →CSV & JSON bulk export
- →API access with rate limits to fit
- →Custom dataset packaging
- →Briefing and integration support
PRO DATA EXPLORER
Sign in to explore the historical data.
Pro subscribers get interactive access to all five datasets, live charts, 90-day history, source-backed briefings, confidence reads and alerts for £9/month.